Modern international politics has entered a phase of extremely dangerous turbulence caused by a sharp aggravation of relations between the United States of America and Iran. The epicenter of this confrontation has become the Strait of Hormuz — the most important strategic artery of world trade, through which a significant part of the global maritime export of oil and petroleum products lies.
Regular incidents with civilian tankers, mutual forceful operations, and the demonstration of military might on the part of Washington and Tehran have threatened the uninterrupted supply of energy resources to key regions of the world. Constant threats of a complete closure of navigation and real attacks on commercial vessels are forcing leading state institutions and shipping companies to look for alternative routes, however, it is simply impossible to fully replace this transport corridor in the short term.
The rapid aggravation of the situation has inevitably provoked a deep transport collapse, which is already hitting supply chains and causing panic in international markets. Experts and financial sector analysts warn of the high probability of a full-scale global fuel crisis if the parties to the conflict do not find diplomatic levers for de-escalation. Against the backdrop of military strikes on infrastructure facilities and massive operations in the region, oil prices are demonstrating rapid growth, which inevitably entails an increase in the cost of logistics, air transportation, and final consumer goods worldwide. Governments of leading states are holding emergency meetings for the sake of stabilizing markets and finding mechanisms to protect critical infrastructure, because any delay threatens the shutdown of production and a long-term global recession.
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